Farvagny / Ogoz vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 0
FAR
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 1
TPA
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 4
ECH
48%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
FAR
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
3 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 0
COL
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
COL
2 - 2
TPA
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ECH
0 - 0
COL
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
STA
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
COL
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |