Farnborough vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BIS
2 - 2
FAR
65%
19%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 7
BAT
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -3 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BRO
5 - 0
FAR
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HAY
2 - 0
FAR
38%
23%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 4
WEA
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
WEA
0 - 1
BOR
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
WEA
3 - 0
GOS
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HAV
3 - 1
WEA
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
WEA
1 - 4
BIS
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |