Farnborough vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HAY
3 - 2
FAR
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HAV
0 - 1
FAR
37%
24%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
4 - 1
TON
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
6 - 2
EAS
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
FAR
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
1 - 2
SUT
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
WHI
50%
23%
28%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 1
BAT
48%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CHM
3 - 2
WHI
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 1
BRO
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |