Farnborough vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 2
FAR
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FAR
2 - 2
BUR
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 3
FAR
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 3
EAS
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 3
CHM
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
WHI
3 - 2
GLO
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 1
WHI
33%
24%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 0
TON
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 3
WEL
39%
25%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WHI
1 - 4
WOK
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |