Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
FAR
20%
22%
59%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
FAR
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 0
FAR
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FAR
4 - 0
BOR
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TON
3 - 0
WES
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TON
5 - 1
EAS
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 1
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
TON
1 - 1
BRO
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 2
TON
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |