Farnborough vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
FAR
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 2
WOK
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHM
0 - 1
FAR
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 0
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 3
FAR
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
EBB
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 1
THU
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
THU
1 - 2
MAI
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 1
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
THU
3 - 0
WES
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |