Farnborough vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 0
LYM
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 0
LEA
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 0
TAU
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 0
YAT
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
SWI
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 0
STR
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 2
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HAY
1 - 0
SWI
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAY
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
SWI
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |