Farnborough vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
3 - 1
FAR
40%
23%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FAR
5 - 2
DOV
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BAS
6 - 2
FAR
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
FAR
2 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FAR
0 - 3
BOR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
STA
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 3
WHI
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
SAL
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 0
SUT
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
5 - 3
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |