Farnborough vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DOV
6 - 3
FAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 2
MAI
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BIS
1 - 4
FAR
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
FAR
0 - 0
STA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
FAR
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 1
CHM
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 1
LEW
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LEW
1 - 2
HAM
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 1
LEW
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 3
DOV
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |