Farnborough vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LEA
0 - 1
FAR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 2
FAR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 3
HAM
24%
23%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NEE
0 - 2
FAR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BIL
2 - 3
FAR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
KIN
0 - 1
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 2
FAR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
KIN
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
KIN
2 - 1
BOG
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KIN
2 - 2
LEW
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |