Farnborough vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
POO
1 - 3
FAR
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 0
WAL
46%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 2
WOK
31%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FAR
5 - 7
ALD
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 3
DOR
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HEN
2 - 6
HAY
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
0 - 4
HEN
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
STA
2 - 0
HEN
12%
15%
73%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
HEN
2 - 0
HAM
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |