Farnborough vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 1
BAT
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TON
2 - 3
FAR
44%
23%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAL
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
3 - 1
FAR
40%
23%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FAR
5 - 2
DOV
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HAV
4 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 0
HAV
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
HAV
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HAV
5 - 2
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
HAV
2 - 3
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |