Farnborough vs Hampton & Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 2
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 1
FAR
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
0 - 2
DOV
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
0 - 1
WES
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
3 - 0
FAR
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hampton & Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
HAM
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 0
SUT
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
DOV
0 - 1
HAM
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WES
1 - 2
HAM
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 0
MAI
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |