Farnborough vs Gosport Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
SUT
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
BIS
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 3
EBB
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
BRA
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
FAR
49%
24%
26%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 3
GOS
17%
22%
62%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GOS
1 - 1
EAS
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
GOS
3 - 0
MAI
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 1
GOS
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GOS
4 - 0
HEM
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |