Farnborough vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 3
CHM
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HAV
5 - 0
FAR
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
WHI
8 - 2
FAR
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 3
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
EAS
4 - 1
MAI
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
THU
1 - 3
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
CHM
3 - 0
EAS
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 0
WEL
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 0
EAS
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |