Farnborough vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
FAR
1 - 2
EBB
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
FAR
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
FAR
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
HED
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
STO
3 - 2
FAR
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
HAM
1 - 0
DAR
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DAR
2 - 2
HAV
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BOG
0 - 2
DAR
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
HEN
1 - 2
DAR
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
WEA
1 - 1
DAR
24%
23%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |