Farnborough vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
4 - 3
BIL
62%
20%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WHI
3 - 3
FAR
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 3
SUT
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STA
1 - 2
FAR
43%
23%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 1
MAI
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
CHM
3 - 1
MAI
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CHM
2 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
CHM
2 - 1
TON
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 2
CHM
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CHM
0 - 1
BAT
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |