Farnborough vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HAV
5 - 0
FAR
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
WHI
8 - 2
FAR
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 3
SUT
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 3
FAR
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
CHM
3 - 0
EAS
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
CHM
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 1
CHM
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHM
0 - 0
BOR
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
CHM
2 - 2
TON
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |