Farnborough vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BRO
5 - 0
FAR
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HAY
2 - 0
FAR
38%
23%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GOS
2 - 1
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 1
EAS
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
0 - 1
BIS
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
1 - 1
CON
53%
24%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
WES
4 - 2
BAT
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HEM
0 - 3
BAT
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 2
BAT
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |