Farnborough vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
FAR
0 - 0
DON
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
FAR
2 - 4
YEO
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
DAG
1 - 0
FAR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
FAR
2 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 5
ARS
7%
18%
75%
|
53 | 92 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 0
SCA
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
HAL
2 - 4
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
DAG
5 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 2
BUR
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |