Farense vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 0
FAR
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
FAR
0 - 2
CHA
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
SPB
4 - 2
FAR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
FAR
1 - 1
BMA
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
LEX
1 - 0
FAR
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
VST
1 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
ACV
0 - 1
VST
30%
33%
38%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
VST
3 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
VST
2 - 1
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |