Farense vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
3 - 4
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
BMA
2 - 0
FAR
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
FAR
3 - 2
LEX
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VST
4 - 1
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
33%
29%
37%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
1 - 0
VST
35%
31%
34%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VST
2 - 2
FCP
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |