Farense vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 3
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
CAM
3 - 1
FAR
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
FAR
2 - 1
BMA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
RIO
2 - 2
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 0
BMA
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1999 |
RIO
0 - 1
VIT
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 0
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
SCP
3 - 0
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACA
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |