Farense vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
EST
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
FAR
0 - 1
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 3
BEL
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 2
BEL
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 3
FCP
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
FCP
3 - 3
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
VIT
1 - 2
BOA
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
LEX
0 - 3
VIT
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |