Farense vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ACA
0 - 0
FAR
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
FAR
4 - 3
LEX
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
ATL
3 - 2
FAR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCB
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BOA
1 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BEL
0 - 1
VIT
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
ACA
4 - 1
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
VIT
3 - 2
LEX
63%
23%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |