Farense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
CHA
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 2
FAR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAF
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
FAR
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPC
58%
24%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
SPC
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 0
VAR
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAS
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |