Farense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
FCP
8 - 3
FAR
89%
8%
3%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPB
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAR
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
FAR
0 - 0
BEL
45%
29%
25%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
POR
3 - 2
FAR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
VAR
2 - 0
MAR
52%
28%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BOA
0 - 0
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
FCP
0 - 0
VAR
89%
9%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
45%
29%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
SCP
3 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |