Farense vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
FCP
6 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
0 - 0
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
3 - 4
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
UFT
3 - 1
BEL
35%
30%
36%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
2 - 1
UFT
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
SLB
6 - 1
UFT
89%
8%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
0 - 5
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
1 - 0
VST
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |