Farense vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
FCP
4 - 1
FAR
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 3
VST
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
BEL
0 - 0
FAR
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 1
FCB
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
SCP
4 - 0
FAR
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
UFT
1 - 1
FAB
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
UFT
1 - 7
FCP
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
VST
1 - 1
UFT
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
UFT
0 - 6
BEL
31%
32%
37%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 0
UFT
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |