Farense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
SLB
2 - 1
FAR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
FAR
1 - 1
UDL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
VST
1 - 1
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
BMA
1 - 3
FAR
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
FAR
0 - 1
SPB
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
UNM
1 - 1
SCP
22%
27%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
EST
1 - 1
UNM
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
UNM
0 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
UNM
3 - 3
VIT
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
CHA
5 - 1
UNM
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |