Farense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1992 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAR
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
BMA
1 - 0
FAR
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
FAR
2 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
SLB
1 - 1
FAR
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
FAR
0 - 2
SCP
22%
28%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1992 |
UNM
2 - 1
BMA
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
SLB
6 - 0
UNM
82%
14%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
UNM
0 - 2
SPB
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
FAM
2 - 0
UNM
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
UNM
2 - 2
FCP
19%
29%
53%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |