Farense vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ORI
1 - 1
FAR
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
FAB
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
LEX
3 - 0
FAR
52%
28%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
SCP
3 - 0
UFT
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 3
SCP
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
VIT
0 - 0
SCP
23%
27%
49%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |