Farense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 0
FAR
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 3
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 0
FEI
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
FAR
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 0
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 4
SPC
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 2
BEN
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 0
SPC
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
ACA
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |