Farense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1988 |
FCP
4 - 0
FAR
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
FAR
1 - 0
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
BOA
2 - 0
FAR
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
FAR
2 - 1
VIT
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
BEL
4 - 1
FAR
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1988 |
SPC
1 - 1
ESP
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
SAL
2 - 2
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 1
CHA
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |