Farense vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
BOA
3 - 0
FAR
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
FAR
0 - 2
FCP
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
LEC
2 - 1
FAR
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
FAR
0 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
GFC
2 - 2
FAR
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
SPB
1 - 0
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
FEL
1 - 1
SPB
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
BOA
5 - 2
SPB
64%
23%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
29%
28%
44%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
LEC
0 - 1
SPB
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |