Farense vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
RDA
1 - 1
FAR
42%
25%
34%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
FAR
3 - 1
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
FAR
2 - 1
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
POR
2 - 2
FAR
69%
20%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
SPB
0 - 1
FCP
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
RDA
0 - 2
SPB
28%
28%
45%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SPB
1 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
RIO
1 - 1
SPB
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |