Farense vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FAR
0 - 0
VST
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 2
FAR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
FAR
3 - 2
SAL
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SLB
6 - 2
FAR
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAR
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
RIO
3 - 0
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
VST
2 - 0
RIO
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
RIO
1 - 0
CAM
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
RIO
2 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |