Farense vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
EST
2 - 1
FAR
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
FAR
1 - 3
SCP
16%
24%
60%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 1
FAR
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
FAR
2 - 1
CHA
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
VST
1 - 1
FAR
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
RIO
1 - 1
BMA
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
RIO
3 - 1
CAM
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
EST
1 - 0
RIO
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCP
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
ACA
1 - 1
RIO
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |