Farense vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
FCP
5 - 0
FAR
90%
8%
3%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
FAR
0 - 0
SPB
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
VIZ
0 - 0
FAR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
FAR
1 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAR
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACA
66%
23%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
VIT
3 - 2
RIO
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
RIO
0 - 0
VST
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
SLB
2 - 0
RIO
85%
10%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
RIO
0 - 3
BOA
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |