Farense vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
VST
1 - 1
FAR
60%
26%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
FAR
0 - 0
POR
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCP
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAR
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
FAR
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
EST
1 - 1
RIO
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
RIO
2 - 3
SLB
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
SPB
2 - 0
RIO
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 1
RIO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
RIO
2 - 2
VAR
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |