Farense vs Quarteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
FAR
9%
15%
76%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ORI
0 - 2
FAR
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
FAR
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 1
OEI
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 2
FAR
18%
25%
57%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
QUA
3 - 3
TOR
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OEI
0 - 1
QUA
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
QUA
2 - 0
PIN
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +5 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 0
QUA
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
QUA
2 - 3
FAR
7%
14%
80%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | -1 |