Farense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
FAR
0 - 2
FCP
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
SLB
6 - 2
FAR
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
FAR
1 - 1
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
RDA
1 - 1
FAR
42%
25%
34%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
FAR
3 - 1
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
SPB
1 - 1
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
PEN
1 - 0
RDA
71%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
PEN
0 - 1
RIO
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |