Farense vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAR
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 1
LEX
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
FAR
85%
12%
4%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
FAR
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FAR
0 - 0
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 0
PAÇ
13%
24%
64%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
PAÇ
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
ACA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAÇ
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |