Farense vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
FAB
1 - 0
FAR
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
FAR
5 - 0
ESP
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
BOA
1 - 1
FAR
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
FAR
2 - 1
LEX
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 4
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
ORI
2 - 3
UFT
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 0
ORI
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 1
VST
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
VIT
5 - 0
ORI
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 2
FCP
25%
29%
46%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |