Europa League 1/32
Global 0-2
Farense vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
FAR
1 - 0
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
VIT
1 - 0
FAR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
FAR
2 - 1
TIR
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
FAR
2 - 0
EST
61%
23%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
FCM
1 - 2
LYO
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1995 |
LYO
1 - 1
STR
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
LYO
1 - 1
MET
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
REN
1 - 0
LYO
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 2
LYO
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |