Farense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
CHA
0 - 0
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
FAR
1 - 2
SPB
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
BMA
2 - 2
FAR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
FAR
3 - 1
LEX
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
FCP
5 - 0
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
ACV
0 - 2
NAC
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
NAC
3 - 0
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
PEN
2 - 0
NAC
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |