Farense vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
18º
16º
7
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FAR
3 - 1
ALI
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 1
ALN
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
FAR
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 0
FAR
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
VIT
6 - 1
FAR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
3 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
PAÇ
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
UDL
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
MOR
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |