Farense vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 1
FAR
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
FAR
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
POR
3 - 2
FAR
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
FAR
1 - 1
SHW
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FAR
3 - 1
PRA
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
FCC
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 2
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MON
7 - 0
MEG
90%
8%
3%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
IMO
1 - 3
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |