Farense vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FEI
1 - 0
FAR
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 3
MAT
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FAR
3 - 0
SCP
33%
28%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
FAR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
ACV
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 0
POR
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAF
1 - 1
FEI
25%
29%
46%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 1
MAF
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 1
GFC
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAF
1 - 1
AVE
29%
29%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |