Farense vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 2
FAR
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FAR
3 - 0
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 1
FAR
18%
24%
57%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OLH
1 - 2
FAR
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 0
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 1
LOU
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
LOU
35%
27%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 3
EVN
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |